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Aeroflot traffic up by 10.5% in 2000

Domestic passenger numbers up by 19.4% according to prelinary figures (420 words)

Published: 1/22/2001

During 2000, the carrier increased its passenger traffic, (according to preliminary data) by 10.5% over 1999, taking it to 5,104,00 passengers. Both domestic and international routes saw increases in terms of passengers and passenger revenue kilometres. Although growth on international routes was lower than domestic (7.8% vs. 19.4%). The figures are howeever, substantially better than the 1% recorded for the industry as a whole in 2000 according to the Ministry of Transport.


Nickolai Kuznetsov, Aeroflot's Finance Director, said that despite the high growth in traffic, seat load factors on domestic routes fell, in 2000, by 2% on domestic routes. This was however, offset by a 13.2% increase on its international routes, making an overall seat load factor increase of 10.6%; reflecting the high proportion of international passengers in the Aeroflot mix.

The reason for the falls in domestic load factors appears attributable to:

· Aeroflot's commencement of a number of new routes that are still building passenger numbers.
· In 2000, Aeroflot has increased ticket prices on domestic routes (negatively affecting price sensitive passengers); average ticket price on domestic routes being increased 38% - from $62.1 to $86. Average passenger yield (which considers distance of the flight) increased 47% from 1.7 cents per RPK to 2.5 cents per RPK.

The increase in ticket prices means that passenger revenues from domestic routes increased in $ terms despite the low seat load.

Aeroflot's numbers show that available seat kilometres decreased on international routes in 2000. This reflects the closure of unprofitable international routes during the year. The increase in domestic routes is reflected in higher ASKs correspondingly.


  1999 2000E change
Passengers, 000 4,609 5,104 10.7%
international routes 3,440 3,709 7.8%
domestic routes 1,169 1,396 19.4%
RPK, m pkm 16,405 17,442 6.3%
international routes 13,241 14,078 6.3%
domestic routes 3,165 3,364 6.3%
ASK, m pkm 27,619 26,548 -3.9%
international routes 23,352 21,929 -6.1%
domestic routes 4,271 4,633 8.5%
Seat load 59.4% 65.7% 10.6%
international routes 56.7% 64.2% 13.2%
domestic routes 74.1% 72.6% -2.0%


Given the increases in fares, on both domestic and international flights and the higher volumes in 2000, it seems likely that Aeroflot may report revenues of $938m (from passenger transportation), under Russian Accounting Standards; an increase of more than 16% on 1999.

  1999 2000E change
Average ticket price, $      
International routes 213.9 220.6 3.1%
Domestic routes 62.1 86.0 38.5%
Passenger carried, m      
international routes 3.4 3.7 7.8%
domestic routes 1.2 1.4 19.4%
Passengers revenues, $ m      
from international routes 735.8 818.1 11.2%
from domestic routes 72.6 120.0 65.3%
Total passengers revenues, $ m 808.4 938.1 16.0%


Aeroflot expects a 20.7% increase in cargo and mail transportation in 2000, for the year as a whole. Aeroflot's preliminary results show that Aeroflot carried 2,512 tonnes of mail (32% increase on 1999) and 105,488 tonnes of cargo (20.4% more than in 1999). Domestic routes are attributed with the greatest cargo and mail transportation increase by adding revenues of at least $100 m to Aeroflot's 2000 figures.


  1999 2000E change
Mail carried, tonnes 1,901 2,513 32.2%
international routes 1,685 2,112 25.3%
domestic routes 216 401 85.7%
Cargo carried, tonnes 87,609 105,488 20.4%
international routes 78,316 93,770 19.7%
domestic routes 9,293 11,719 26.1%
Cargo and mail carried, tonnes 89,510 108,001 20.7%
international routes 80,001 95,881 19.9%
domestic routes 9,509 12,120 27.4%


Aeroflot also reported a reduction in its fuel costs. The carrier's preliminary results show consumption declined by 1% to 1253 tonnes. The greater use of western aircraft dramatically reduced jet fuel consumption in grammes per 1 tonne kilometre by 9%.

  1999 2000E change
Jet fuel consumption, g/tkm 612 558 -8.8%
Total jet fuel consumption, tonnes 1,262 1,253 -0.7%


Article ID: 2306

 

 

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